Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, May 19, 2012
Gold Bottom is In, But is it September 2008 or October 2008? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
We began the week by making a ballsy prediction about the precious metals complex. We believed a major bottom could happen this week. In the wake of the European debt crisis and potential "credit events," the precious metals became extremely oversold based on a number of metrics. Technically, we saw that Gold and Silver were nearing the December lows which produced a good rally. The gold stocks were nearing the 50% retracement of their 2008-2011 bull move. The combination of an extreme oversold condition and technical support usually produces bottoms. It wasn't a difficult call but putting it on paper was. With the low in, the question now becomes, is this an interim bottom or will it be the major low we initially expected?
Saturday, May 19, 2012
Is Major Decline in Gold and Silver Stocks Underway? / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By: Przemyslaw_Radomski
All eyes are on Greece which is heading toward national elections six weeks after the last vote. Many feel that a Greek euro exit would be a chance to cauterize a festering wound and move on. There are also those that feel that Greece could be the first of several dominoes to fall, much larger economies such as Spain, Italy, for example.
Saturday, May 19, 2012
Gold Stock Capitulation / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold stocks have been pummeled mercilessly this month, their price action looking almost apocalyptic. The psychological stress spawned by such extreme weakness is intense, breaking the wills of this sector’s few remaining bulls. This week their selling cascaded into a full-blown capitulation, a mass surrender by weary investors. While exceedingly miserable, these events flag major long-term bottoms.
Friday, May 18, 2012
This is the Gold Price Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Casey_Research
In an interview with Louis James, John Hathaway discusses the US's economic outlook and why he's delighted by the current bearish sentiment toward gold.
Louis James: Ladies and gentleman, thanks for tuning in. We're at the Casey Research Recovery Reality Check Summit. We're talking with John Hathaway, one of the more successful fund investors – institutional investors – in our precious metals field near and dear to my heart. John, can you give us a quick version of what you talked about here, for those who didn't make it to the conference?
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Friday, May 18, 2012
Whales in the Gold Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: William_Bancroft
Last April gold investment analysts where excited to see a new institutional player enter the gold market. The University of Texas Investment Management Co. took delivery of nearly $1bn of gold bullion into a New York vault. The reason gold analysts were so interested was because large institutional players had been largely absent from their market and their huge purchasing power had therefore not had its potentially significant positive effect on the gold price.
Friday, May 18, 2012
Gold Bulls Counterattack Sets Up Gold for Weekly Gain / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Ben_Traynor
WHOLESALE MARKET gold prices climbed as high as $1594 an ounce during Monday morning's London trading, jumping 1.5% in the first two hours, while Eurozone stocks looked to have stemmed four days of losses despite Greece and Spain seeing negative ratings decisions.
A day earlier, Dollar prices to buy gold jumped 2% in two hours during Thursday's US trading.
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Friday, May 18, 2012
Gold and Commodities Forming Major Long-Term Bottoms / Commodities / Commodities Trading
By: Toby_Connor
Once every year gold and stocks form a major yearly cycle low. Commodities form a major cycle bottom every 2 1/2 to 3 years. Every once in a while all three of these major cycles hit at the same time. I'm pretty sure that's what is happening right now.
Friday, May 18, 2012
Bloomberg Interview GoldCore on Chinese and Global Gold Demand / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: GoldCore
Gold’s London AM fix this morning was USD 1,588.00, EUR 1,251.08, and GBP 1,005.13 per ounce. Yesterday's AM fix was USD 1,547.00, EUR 1,217.44and GBP 974.00 per ounce.
Silver is trading at $28.53/oz, €22.55/oz and £18.12/oz. Platinum is trading at $1,465.00/oz, palladium at $603.80/oz and rhodium at $1,300/oz.
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Friday, May 18, 2012
Silver Dramatic Turnaround? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Hubert_Moolman
Here are a few patterns that might explain the current state of the silver price, as well as, provide the possible way forward.
Below is a 6-year chart of silver (all charts generated at fxstreet.com):
Friday, May 18, 2012
Forget Peak Oil, Time To Worry About Peak Oil Labor / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: EconMatters
In a recent working paper, researchers at the the IMF (International Monetary Fund) attempt to reconcile the Peak Oil debate that whether resource constraints will dictate the future of oil output and prices, or advance in technology motivated by high oil price would eventually provide a solution to more production, as well as higher oil prices.
Thursday, May 17, 2012
Gold and Silver Market Manipulation? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Casey_Research
Doug Casey, Casey Research writes: For many years now, a meme has been floating around that the prices of gold and silver are being manipulated, which is to say suppressed, by various powers of darkness. This is not an unreasonable assertion. After all, the last thing the monetary powers-that-be want is to see is the price of gold skyrocketing. That would serve as an alarm bell, possibly panicking people all over the world, telling them to get out of the dollar. It's assumed, by those who believe in the theory, that the US Treasury is behind the suppression scheme, in complicity with a half-dozen or so large bullion banks that regularly trade in the metals.
Thursday, May 17, 2012
Cycle Low Approaching for Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Looking at the big picture for spot gold, we see that the next cycle low is due in about 4 weeks. In other words, the current cycle that started at the end of December is about 85% complete.
That means that the strength off of yesterday's low at $1526.98 not only represented a deep retest of the December 29 low at $1522.48, it likely also satisfies the first coordinate in the next cycle bottoming period ahead of a new up-leg in the larger over-riding bull market in gold.
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Thursday, May 17, 2012
Jump in Gold as France Refutes EU Pact / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Adrian_Ash
THE WHOLESALE MARKET gold price jumped at the start of New York trade on Thursday, cutting the week's previous 3.3% dive to 5-month lows in half as the Euro fell and Eurozone stock markets slumped once again.
The gold price touched $1558 per ounce before easing $3 lower. Silver did not follow, failing to break this morning's earlier Dollar high at $27.86 per ounce.
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Thursday, May 17, 2012
What are Hedge Funds Doing With Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Eric_McWhinnie
At the end of 2011, gold prices finished almost 20 percent below their all-time nominal highs made in September. European concerns and liquidation actions sent investors running towards the U.S. dollar for safety. Sound familiar? While many believed the decade long bull market in precious metals came to an end, several well-known hedge funds saw the pullback as a buying opportunity.
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Thursday, May 17, 2012
Gold, I Forget What You Did Last Summer / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2012
By: Adrian_Ash
Gold just gave back the last of its big surge from summer 2011's big crisis...
SO THE PRICE of gold keeps falling, and it keeps falling despite the imminent failure of Greece's Euro membership, the looming collapse of Europe's banking system, and the fast-looming debt-ceiling repeat and fiscal cliff in the US.
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